Hallucination and verification
Why AI makes things up, and how to check it
Why do models get facts wrong even when the evidence is in front of them, and can we catch it automatically?
Our ICML 2026 paper treats hallucination on evidence-grounded yes-or-no questions as a measurable shortfall of information. When the evidence doesn’t carry enough to support an answer, the model fills the gap with something plausible. That gives a rule for when a model should answer and when it should abstain.
We turn the same idea into open-source checks that test each claim against the evidence cited for it.
What we’ve found
Predictable Compression Failures
Published at ICML 2026. In a pre-specified audit of 528 held-out questions, the paper’s answer-or-abstain gate kept hallucinations to 0.0–0.7% while abstaining on 20.6–27.9% of them (95% confidence intervals). The paper doesn’t claim that calibration holds for every model family or for open-ended writing.
Berry
Our open-source verifier, formerly called Strawberry. It checks each claim against the evidence cited for it and keeps a tamper-evident record of every decision, inside Claude Code, Cursor, Codex or Gemini CLI.
Knowing when to stay quiet
An abstention gate built on the paper raised the share of grounded claims among those a model shipped from about 50% to between 75% and 90%, depending on the model.
Checking with isolated provers
A model can’t certify its own work, so trusted verdicts have to come from outside it. When claims were split into parts and checked by separate, isolated models, false approvals fell from 67% to 1.8% in our tests.
Where it stops working
- The gate trades coverage for reliability. In the ICML audit it abstained on a fifth to a quarter of questions, and in later tests it also dropped 10–20% of good claims.
- The order effects in the paper are measured on specific models, and we haven’t yet shown how strongly they hold on the newest ones.
Projects
Berry: flagging claims that aren’t backed by evidence
OngoingAn open-source verifier that checks each claim against the evidence cited for it, in a single pass.
Hallucinations are predictable
CompletedOur ICML 2026 paper: hallucination as a measurable shortfall of information, with a rule for when to answer or abstain.
Checking claims with isolated provers
CompletedSplitting a claim into parts checked by separate, isolated models, so copied or misattributed evidence can’t slip through.
Can a small model spot its own reasoning mistakes?
CompletedTesting whether a small model can find the wrong steps in its own maths reasoning, and whether checking steps improves answers.
Teaching AI to say “I don’t know”
On holdA step-by-step reasoning loop that commits only to answers it can check, and abstains otherwise.
Is this text machine-written?
OngoingA detector for AI-generated text that is most accurate when it can compare a response with its human-written source.